predictii pentru premiile oscar 2023

anul asta s-a intamplat o minune: am vazut *toate* filmele nominalizate la oscar inainte de ceremonie, asa ca imi pot da cu opinia fara doar si poate despre cine merita sa castige si cine ar putea sa o faca. spoiler: chiar daca a fost un an cinematografic bun, TÁR este o capodopera pur si simplu. todd field este un geniu si nu vreau decat sa il vad castigand un oscar. sau doua. sau trei. gah.

cel mai bun film

ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT

AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER

THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN

ELVIS

EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE

THE FABELMANS

TÁR

TOP GUN: MAVERICK

TRIANGLE OF SADNESS

WOMEN TALKING

win win: EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE

spoilers: EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE

wishlist: TÁR

erica spune: doar cinci filme au castigat premiile dga, pga, sag si wga, iar patru au castigat si marele premiu la oscar. al cincelea o sa reuseasca performanta asta astazi. EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE nu are cum sa piarda, chiar daca a pierdut globul de aur pentru cel mai bun film de comedie si echivalentul bafta.

cel mai bun regizor

martin mcdonagh, THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN

daniel kwan and daniel scheinert, EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE

steven spielberg, THE FABELMANS

todd field, TÁR

ruben ostlund, TRIANGLE OF SADNESS

win win: daniel kwan and daniel scheinert, EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE

spoilers: daniel kwan and daniel scheinert, EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE

wishlist: todd field, TÁR

erica spune: intr-o lume perfecta, todd field ar castigat in categoria asta. revenit dupa o pauza de saisprezece ani cu o opera de arta, field merita premiul mai mult ca oricine. kwan si scheinert o sa fie castigatori buni, totusi; poate ca filmul lor a avut mai mult ~~regizorie~~ decat o munca cu adevarat buna, dar nu ai cum sa te superi ca o sa castige.

cel mai bun actor in rol principal

austin butler, ELVIS

colin farrell, THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN

brendan fraser, THE WHALE

paul mescal, AFTERSUN

bill nighy, LIVING

win win: austin butler, ELVIS

spoilers: brendan fraser, THE WHALE

wishlist: paul mescal, AFTERSUN

erica spune: categoria asta este greu de ghicit. bataia este intre butler (care a luat premiul bafta) si fraser (care a castigat sag-ul), actorul care joaca o legenda intr-o biografie si actorul care a revenit intr-un rol in care a trebuit sa se transforme. ambii ar putea castiga, dar cred ca butler are ceva mai mari sanse, desi nu sunt sigura. fraser este teribil intr-un film oribil, iar daca ar castiga ar fi o dezamagire.

cea mai buna actrita in rol principal

cate blanchett, TÁR

ana de armas, BLONDE

andrea riseborough, TO LESLIE,

michelle williams, THE FABELMANS

michelle yeoh, EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE

win win: michelle yeoh, EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE

spoilers: cate blanchett, TÁR

wishlist: cate blanchett, TÁR

erica spune: sunt pesimista de sine, deci cred ca o sa vedem un furt teribil la ceremonie. michelle yeoh nu a rea in EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE, dar nici chiar de oscar si sigur nu cand cate blanchett a oferit o prestatie ca cea din TÁR. 'dar blanchett are doua oscaruri' okay, si? meryl merita un al treilea pentru margaret thatcher? sau frances mcdormand pentru NOMADLAND? sau daniel day-lewis pentru LINCOLN? pe bune acum.

cel mai bun actor in rol secundar

brendan gleeson, THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN

brian tyree henry, CAUSEWAY

judd hirsch, THE FABELMANS

barry keoghan, THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN

ke huy quan, EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE

win win: ke huy quan, EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE

spoilers: ke huy quan, EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE

wishlist: brian tyree henry, CAUSEWAY sau judd hirsch, THE FABELMANS

erica spune: cea mai usoara categorie a noptii. ke huy quan a sarmat pe toti si a jucat jocul foarte bine. ar fi fost frumos daca brian tyree henry sau judd hirsch ar fi castigat cate ceva, dar quan merita, mai ales dupa ce a parasit hollywood-ul pentru doua decenii ca nu erau roluri pentru actorii asiatici.

cea mai buna actrita in rol secundar

angela bassett, BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER

hong chau, THE WHALE

kerry condon, THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN

jamie lee curtis, EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE

stephanie hsu, EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE

win win: jamie lee curtis, EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE

spoilers: angela bassett, BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER sau kerry condon, THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN

wishlist: hong chau, THE WHALE

erica spune: cred ca angela bassett a fost sylvester stallone 2.0: stallone a luat globul de aur si premiul criticilor pentru CREED in 2016, dar a pierdut premiile bafta, sag si oscar. jamie lee curtis a jucat si ea jocul mai ceva ca ke huy quan si cum a luat premiul sag, chiar cred ca o sa castige oscarul. din pacate. whatever.

cel mai bun scenariu original

martin mcdonagh, THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN

daniel kwan and daniel scheinert, EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE

steven spielberg si tony kushner, THE FABELMANS

todd field, TÁR

ruben ostlund, TRIANGLE OF SADNESS

win win: daniel kwan and daniel scheinert, EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE

spoilers: martin mcdonagh, THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN

wishlist: todd field, TÁR

erica spune: APARTMENT FOR SALE AR TREBUI SA II ADUCA LUI TODD FIELD OSCARUL, CE NAIBA TREBUIE SA FACA ACEST GENIU PENTRU UN OSCAR, OH MY GOD, URASC ASTA. sunt in regula. UGH.

cel mai bun scenariu adaptat

ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT

GLASS ONION: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY

LIVING

TOP GUN: MAVERICK

WOMEN TALKING

win win: WOMEN TALKING

spoilers: ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT

wishlist: LIVING

erica spune: 

cel mai bun film animat

GUILLERMO DEL TORO'S PINOCCHIO

MARCEL THE SHELL WITH SHOES ON

PUSS IN BOOTS: THE LAST WISH

THE SEA BEAST

TURNING RED

win win: 

spoilers: 

wishlist: 

erica spune: 

cel mai bun film international

ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT

ARGENTINA, 1985

CLOSE

EO

THE QUIET GIRL

win win: 

spoilers: 

wishlist: 

erica spune: 

cel mai bun documentar

ALL THAT BREATHES

ALL THE BEAUTY AND THE BLOODSHED

FIRE OF LOVE

A HOUSE MADE OF SPLINTERS

NAVALNY

win win: 

spoilers: 

wishlist: 

erica spune: 

cel mai bun scurtmetraj documentar

THE ELEPHANT WHISPERERS

HAULOUT

HOW DO YOU MEASURE A YEAR?

THE MARTHA MITCHELL EFFECT

STRANGER AT THE GATE

win win: 

spoilers: 

wishlist: 

erica spune: 

cel mai bun scurtmetraj

AN IRISH GOODBYE

IVALU

LE PUPILLE

NIGHT RIDE

THE RED SUITCASE

win win: 

spoilers: 

wishlist: 

erica spune: 

cel mai bun scurtmetraj animat

THE BOY, THE MOLE, THE FOX, AND THE HORSE

THE FLYING SOLDIER

ICE MERCHANTS

MY YEAR OF DICKS

AN OSTRICH TOLD ME THE WORLD IS FAKE AND I THINK I BELIEVE IT

win win: 

spoilers: 

wishlist: 

erica spune: 

cea mai buna muzica originala

ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT

BABYLON

THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN

EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE

THE FABELMANS

win win: 

spoilers: 

wishlist: 

erica spune: 

cel mai bun cantec original

APPLAUSE - TELL IT LIKE A WOMAN

HOLD MY HAND - TOP GUN: MAVERICK

LIFT ME UP - BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER

NAATU NAATU - RRR

THIS IS A LIFE - EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE

win win: 

spoilers: 

wishlist: 

erica spune: 

cel mai bun sonor

ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT

AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER

THE BATMAN

ELVIS

TOP GUN: MAVERICK

win win: 

spoilers: 

wishlist: 

erica spune: 

cele mai bun decoruri

ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT

AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER

BABYLON

ELVIS

THE FABELMANS

win win: 

spoilers: 

wishlist: 

erica spune: 

cea mai buna imagine

james friend, ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT

darius khondji, BARDO, FALSE CHRONICLE OF A HANDFUL OF TRUTHS

mandy walker, ELVIS

roger deakins, EMPIRE OF LIGHT

florian hoffmeister, TÁR

win win: 

spoilers: 

wishlist: 

erica spune: 

cel mai bun machiaj si hairstyling

ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT

THE BATMAN

BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER

ELVIS

THE WHALE

win win: 

spoilers: 

wishlist: 

erica spune: 

cele mai bune costume

BABYLON

THE BATMAN

ELVIS

EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE

MRS. HARRIS GOES TO PARIS

win win: 

spoilers: 

wishlist: 

erica spune: 

cel mai bun montaj

mikkel e. g. nielsen, THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN

matt villa & jonathan redmond, ELVIS

paul rogers, EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE

monika willi, TÁR

eddie hamilton, TOP GUN: MAVERICK

win win: 

spoilers: 

wishlist: 

erica spune: 

cele mai bunt efecte vizuale

ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT

AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER

THE BATMAN

BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER

TOP GUN: MAVERICK

win win: 

spoilers: 

wishlist: 

erica spune: